基于导航数据的交叉口进口道安全风险评估及诊断方法Navigation-data-based Risk Evaluation Method at Intersection Entrance
赵晓华;姚莹;丁阳;荣建;苏岳龙;毕超凡;
摘要(Abstract)：
以导航软件采集的驾驶行为、空间位置、交通状况及用户量等大数据为基础,应用交通秩序指数评价道路安全性。通过分析与进口道相关的道路几何特征、交通执法设备以及信号控制设施的安全性特征,构建交叉口安全性结构方程模型,深入挖掘交叉口进口道风险致因。结果表明,交叉口各方向车道总数、信号相位,与进口有关的进口道车道数、调头车道数、横断面类型、中央分隔带类型、违法监控设备数量,都对交叉口安全性具有显著影响。拥堵状态对于交叉口安全性的影响最大,且在不同时段交叉口安全性存在较大差异。其次,信号控制设施与道路几何特征,交通执法设备对交叉口的安全影响最小。在改善交叉口进口道的安全性时,首要是鼓励错峰出行、改善拥堵状态,尽量采用带有全红时间的信号配时方案。道路设计过程中,在进口方向增加车道数量并设置硬性中央分隔带,尽量设置调头车道。提出一种基于导航数据的进口道风险与交叉口相关属性间量化关系的挖掘方法,进而实现交叉口进口道风险的评估与诊断,为其他类型道路及交通网全域风险防控和安全改造提供借鉴和参考。
关键词(KeyWords)： 交叉口;风险评估及诊断;驾驶行为;结构方程;导航数据
基金项目(Foundation): 国际科技创新合作重点专项(2017YFE0134500);; 国家自然科学基金(52072012);; 北京工业大学交通运输工程学科科研基地开放探索项目(2020BJUT2T02)
作者(Author): 赵晓华;姚莹;丁阳;荣建;苏岳龙;毕超凡;
Email:
DOI:
参考文献(References)：
- [1]赵琳娜，贾兴无，戴帅，等.中国城市道路交通安全特点解析[J].城市交通，2018,16(3):13.ZHAO Linna,JIA Xingwu,DAI Shuai,et al.Guide of special topics:improving roadway safety through transportation planning[J].Urban Transport of China,2018,16(3):13.
- [2]张开驹．城市道路交通安全评价及安全措施研究[D]．南京：南京林业大学，2012.ZHANG Kaiju. Research on safety evaluation and safety precaution of urban traffic[D]. Nanjing:Nanjing Forestry University,2012.
- [3]汪莹，黄新.城市道路信号交叉口安全评价体系的构建与应用[J].森林工程，2014,30(6):118.WANG Ying,HUANG Xin. Construction and application of safety evaluation system for city road signal intersections[J].Forest Engineering,2014,30(6):118.
- [4] YAO Y,ZHAO X,ZHANG Y,et al. Development of urban road order index based on driving behavior and speed variation[J].Transportation Research Record,2019,2673(7):466.
- [5]尹海军，程建川.平面交叉口新型安全措施[J].中国市政工程，2008(1):76.YIN Haijun,CHENG Jianchuan. New safety measures for intersections[J].China Municipal Engineering,2008(1):76.
- [6]江泽浩，潘飞，汪涛，等.信号控制交叉口机动车绿灯间隔——安全可靠度曲线簇[J].交通运输系统工程与信息，2018,18(5):71.JIANG Zehao,PAN Fei,WANG Tao,et al.The curve family of vehicular inter-green time and safety reliability at signalized intersections[J].Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology,2018,18(5):71.
- [7]曲麟智.城市信号交叉口安全评价研究[D].北京：北京邮电大学，2011.QU Linzhi. Analysis on safety of urban signalized intersection[D]. Beijing:Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,2011.
- [8]余璇.交叉口信号控制安全的研究[D].上海：同济大学，2008.YU Xuan.A research on intersection signal security and control[D].Shanghai:Tongji University,2008.
- [9] QuestMobile.China mobile internet annual report in 2017[EB/OL].(2019-04-02)http：//www.questmobile.com.cn/research/report-new/18.
- [10] Federal Highway Administration. Travel time reliability–making it there on time,all the time[EB/OL].(2006-01-21)https：//ops.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/tt_reliability/brochure/ttr_brochure.pdf
- [11] KANUNGO T,MOUNT D M,NETANYAHU N S,et al.An efficient k-means clustering algorithm:analysis and implementation[J]. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis&Machine Intelligence,2002(7):881.
- [12]施晓芬.城市信号交叉口驾驶员速度控制和视觉搜索行为研究[D].西安：长安大学，2011.SHI Xiaofen.Study on speed control and visual search of driving behavior at urban signal intersection[D]. Xi’an:Chang’an University,2011.
- [13]马明.基于多元统计方法的城市道路交通事故分析研究[D].武汉：武汉理工大学，2010.MA Ming. Analysis of urban road traffic accidents based on multivariate statistical method[D]. Wuhan:Wuhan University of Technology,2010.
- [14] GREIBE P. Accident prediction models for urban roads[J].Accident Analysis&Prevention,2003,35(2):273.
- [15] KAPLAN D. Structural equation modeling:foundations and extensions[M].London:Sage Publications,2008.
- [16]侯杰泰.结构方程模型及其应用[M].北京：教育科学出版社，2004.HOU Jietai.Structural equation model and its applications[M].Beijing:Educational Science Publishing House,2004.
- [17] ZHANG W,HU Z,FENG Z,et al. Investigating factors influencing drivers'speed selection behavior under reduced visibility conditions[J]. Traffic Injury Prevention,2018,19(5):488.
- [18]凌飞阳.行人过街使用手机行为特性及管控方法研究[D].合肥：合肥工业大学，2017.LING Feiyang. The research on behavior characteristics and control methods of pedestrians mobile phone use behavior while crossing[D].Hefei:Hefei University of Technology,2017.
- [19]郝乃澜，王双维，陈强.交通事故等级与事故时间关联性的粗集分析[J].计算机工程与应用，2008(11):219.HAO Nailan,WANG Shuangwei,CHEN Qiang. Analyses on relevance of traffic accident classification and time based on rough set[J]. Computer Engineering and Applications,2008(11):219.
- [20] NOLAND R B,QUDDUS M A. Congestion and safety:a spatial analysis of London[J].Transportation Research Part A:Policy and Practice,2005,39(7/9):737.
- [21]钱红波，李克平.绿灯间隔时间对交叉口交通安全的影响研究[J].中国安全科学学报，2008(6):168.QIAN Hongbo,LI Keping. Study on the influence of green traffic light intervals on the crossing traffic[J]. China Safety Science Journal,2008(6):168.
- [22] CARTER D,HUMMER J E,FOYLE R S,et al.Operational and safety effects of U-turns at signalized intersections[J].Transportation Research Record,2005,1912(1):11.
- [23]郭永健.基于交通冲突技术的平面交叉口安全分析[D].成都：西南交通大学，2015.GUO Yongjian.Safety analysis of intersections based on traffic conflict technique[D]. Chengdu:Southwest Jiaotong University,2015.